Race 12A

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jack Cusick 27.8% 21.5% 17.6% 12.5% 7.2% 6.4% 3.5% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Bocklet 3.6% 6.1% 6.4% 5.4% 8.6% 9.0% 8.9% 8.7% 12.3% 10.9% 12.5% 7.6%
Christopher Cyr 4.8% 4.4% 4.7% 5.4% 6.4% 7.7% 8.6% 9.4% 11.1% 11.4% 13.2% 12.9%
Jonathan Lutz 9.8% 13.7% 13.1% 12.0% 11.8% 10.0% 8.7% 8.5% 5.2% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8%
John Silvestri 6.1% 8.4% 8.3% 8.7% 9.5% 10.0% 10.1% 10.5% 8.5% 7.5% 7.7% 4.7%
Peter Hogan 16.3% 12.7% 13.9% 14.0% 11.5% 9.9% 7.9% 5.7% 4.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Sarah De Silva 7.8% 8.6% 9.7% 9.0% 9.7% 10.3% 10.7% 9.5% 7.7% 7.9% 5.8% 3.3%
Alison Kent 5.9% 6.4% 5.9% 6.7% 8.0% 8.6% 8.3% 9.5% 10.5% 11.3% 9.7% 9.2%
Christopher Craven 6.2% 6.4% 8.4% 11.2% 10.2% 10.2% 9.1% 10.4% 8.3% 9.3% 6.4% 3.9%
Austin Powers 6.3% 5.4% 6.5% 7.7% 8.1% 8.0% 9.2% 11.4% 11.1% 10.0% 9.4% 6.9%
Hannah Schmidt 2.6% 2.5% 2.7% 4.4% 5.0% 4.7% 7.0% 7.0% 9.4% 13.1% 17.0% 24.6%
Marten Kendrick 2.8% 3.9% 2.8% 3.0% 4.0% 5.2% 8.0% 8.0% 10.3% 11.1% 15.0% 25.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.