Race 13A

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jack Cusick 28.3% 22.4% 19.0% 11.4% 8.0% 5.2% 2.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Cyr 3.9% 4.1% 6.4% 7.2% 8.1% 9.2% 9.3% 9.3% 11.6% 12.5% 12.1% 6.3%
Peter Hogan 16.3% 16.1% 15.2% 12.8% 13.4% 9.2% 7.1% 5.4% 2.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Samuel Patterson 4.2% 4.4% 6.6% 6.1% 9.6% 8.9% 10.1% 10.9% 10.0% 10.1% 13.4% 5.7%
Jonathan Lutz 12.1% 14.7% 12.6% 13.8% 10.8% 10.2% 8.8% 5.8% 6.2% 2.5% 2.1% 0.4%
Charles Bocklet 5.2% 5.7% 6.4% 7.1% 7.6% 9.7% 10.5% 11.7% 10.7% 12.3% 7.7% 5.4%
Sarah De Silva 8.1% 9.7% 10.1% 11.1% 10.1% 11.4% 9.3% 10.1% 7.0% 7.2% 3.9% 2.0%
John Silvestri 8.6% 8.5% 8.5% 10.2% 9.6% 10.5% 9.1% 11.4% 9.2% 7.4% 4.6% 2.4%
Marten Kendrick 2.9% 2.4% 3.4% 5.1% 5.6% 7.8% 10.0% 8.9% 10.9% 14.4% 15.4% 13.2%
Austin Powers 6.8% 6.4% 6.4% 8.8% 9.0% 9.7% 11.5% 10.5% 11.1% 8.8% 7.9% 3.1%
Hannah Schmidt 2.4% 3.4% 3.0% 4.4% 5.5% 5.6% 8.4% 9.1% 11.9% 12.1% 16.5% 17.7%
Eric Villadsen 1.2% 2.2% 2.4% 2.0% 2.7% 2.6% 3.4% 4.9% 8.2% 11.0% 15.7% 43.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.