Race 14A

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Willard 23.0% 20.0% 16.6% 13.7% 10.3% 7.6% 3.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Christopher Cyr 4.4% 4.8% 5.3% 7.3% 7.9% 9.5% 8.1% 9.4% 13.1% 12.9% 11.1% 6.2%
Jonathan Lutz 14.2% 12.3% 14.8% 11.3% 13.0% 9.3% 9.9% 6.4% 4.9% 2.2% 1.6% 0.1%
Peter Hogan 16.0% 19.4% 13.6% 14.3% 11.5% 8.5% 7.3% 4.1% 2.8% 1.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Austin Powers 6.1% 7.2% 6.5% 7.9% 8.5% 10.0% 10.4% 11.3% 9.4% 8.9% 9.4% 4.4%
Charles Bocklet 5.9% 5.8% 7.4% 6.5% 7.1% 9.9% 8.4% 12.5% 11.4% 12.2% 8.0% 4.9%
John Silvestri 8.2% 9.2% 10.1% 10.4% 8.7% 11.4% 10.6% 9.9% 6.9% 8.3% 4.1% 2.2%
Samuel Patterson 6.2% 5.4% 6.7% 6.8% 6.9% 9.1% 9.0% 9.7% 11.3% 11.4% 10.8% 6.7%
Marten Kendrick 2.8% 2.4% 3.6% 4.8% 6.5% 7.3% 8.8% 9.4% 11.6% 14.1% 15.6% 13.1%
Sarah De Silva 8.9% 8.5% 10.1% 10.0% 11.3% 9.4% 12.6% 9.9% 7.7% 5.9% 4.3% 1.4%
Hannah Schmidt 2.8% 3.2% 3.0% 4.9% 5.4% 5.5% 7.9% 8.9% 11.6% 13.1% 16.3% 17.4%
Eric Villadsen 1.5% 1.8% 2.3% 2.1% 2.9% 2.5% 3.7% 5.4% 7.9% 8.8% 17.7% 43.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.