Race 1B

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Stefano Peschiera 37.0% 24.7% 13.8% 12.0% 6.3% 3.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jimmy Madigan 9.8% 12.3% 11.2% 12.7% 11.2% 11.0% 9.5% 7.6% 6.3% 3.5% 2.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.4%
Liam McCarthy 15.4% 18.1% 16.7% 12.9% 11.5% 8.5% 7.2% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Victoria McGruer 3.3% 5.0% 8.1% 7.5% 7.3% 7.8% 10.3% 10.1% 8.1% 9.2% 8.5% 7.2% 4.6% 3.0%
Conner Killham 2.2% 3.5% 4.1% 5.4% 6.4% 6.4% 5.9% 8.1% 8.3% 9.0% 8.8% 10.6% 12.0% 9.3%
Soren Walljasper 5.2% 4.9% 5.3% 7.7% 9.0% 10.5% 8.7% 8.6% 9.6% 8.8% 6.3% 6.0% 6.9% 2.5%
Mason Wolters 4.3% 4.6% 6.3% 7.8% 6.3% 8.1% 7.7% 9.4% 8.8% 9.7% 8.5% 7.5% 6.3% 4.7%
Sam Shannon 8.3% 10.1% 11.9% 10.1% 11.5% 10.2% 8.8% 7.1% 7.1% 6.1% 4.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.3%
Alexander Smith 3.4% 3.0% 3.5% 5.5% 5.3% 5.5% 6.7% 9.2% 10.2% 10.0% 9.6% 9.7% 10.4% 8.0%
Anders Hudson 3.5% 3.0% 5.6% 5.6% 6.1% 8.7% 8.7% 9.4% 8.5% 8.2% 9.9% 9.6% 7.6% 5.6%
Alexander Singh 2.8% 3.4% 4.4% 3.7% 6.4% 7.1% 7.9% 8.0% 9.1% 9.3% 9.7% 9.8% 9.7% 8.7%
Isabella Hamilton 1.5% 2.1% 3.2% 2.8% 4.0% 3.9% 6.3% 5.1% 7.9% 9.7% 10.1% 11.9% 11.0% 20.5%
Anna Palmer 1.9% 2.2% 2.4% 3.2% 3.4% 3.9% 4.8% 5.6% 6.9% 8.0% 8.9% 10.6% 14.3% 23.9%
Mackey Leventis 1.4% 3.1% 3.5% 3.1% 5.3% 5.1% 6.4% 5.7% 6.3% 7.5% 12.4% 12.0% 15.2% 13.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.