Race 2B

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stefano Peschiera 37.2% 23.7% 16.5% 10.8% 6.3% 2.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Shannon 7.9% 9.6% 10.8% 12.5% 11.0% 11.1% 11.4% 8.1% 5.7% 5.6% 3.7% 1.6% 1.0%
Mackey Leventis 1.6% 1.6% 2.9% 3.7% 5.2% 4.6% 6.7% 7.0% 8.5% 8.6% 13.8% 15.4% 20.4%
Jimmy Madigan 9.8% 11.1% 11.6% 12.0% 12.9% 11.1% 7.5% 9.0% 5.5% 5.1% 2.6% 1.6% 0.2%
Soren Walljasper 5.8% 6.1% 8.0% 7.2% 9.6% 10.2% 9.0% 8.8% 10.9% 8.1% 6.8% 5.7% 3.8%
Victoria McGruer 3.5% 7.1% 7.0% 7.8% 8.5% 8.1% 11.1% 10.3% 9.4% 9.1% 8.1% 6.4% 3.6%
Liam McCarthy 16.8% 18.3% 16.1% 14.3% 9.5% 9.6% 7.0% 3.9% 2.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexander Singh 2.9% 4.5% 3.7% 5.0% 5.8% 8.0% 8.6% 7.8% 10.1% 11.8% 11.4% 10.6% 9.8%
Isabella Hamilton 2.1% 2.3% 3.8% 2.6% 4.9% 4.3% 4.8% 6.2% 7.7% 9.1% 11.5% 15.6% 25.1%
Alexander Smith 3.8% 3.7% 3.9% 5.8% 5.3% 7.6% 9.1% 8.4% 10.0% 9.3% 9.9% 12.0% 11.2%
Conner Killham 2.4% 3.8% 5.1% 5.4% 7.2% 6.5% 7.5% 10.0% 11.1% 9.5% 10.9% 10.3% 10.3%
Anders Hudson 3.0% 4.8% 5.0% 6.1% 7.4% 7.9% 7.4% 9.2% 9.0% 12.1% 10.8% 9.8% 7.5%
Mason Wolters 3.2% 3.4% 5.6% 6.8% 6.4% 8.4% 8.4% 10.3% 9.5% 10.2% 9.8% 10.9% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.