Race 3B

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stefano Peschiera 36.8% 24.5% 15.4% 11.8% 5.8% 2.7% 1.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Shannon 8.3% 9.0% 11.8% 11.6% 10.9% 11.2% 10.7% 8.2% 7.8% 5.0% 3.1% 1.5% 0.9%
Anders Hudson 3.2% 3.3% 5.0% 6.1% 8.9% 8.2% 9.2% 8.3% 11.4% 11.3% 10.1% 8.0% 7.0%
Victoria McGruer 4.6% 5.0% 7.0% 7.2% 10.3% 8.6% 9.9% 9.4% 10.0% 9.5% 7.4% 7.1% 4.0%
Liam McCarthy 16.3% 19.2% 16.2% 12.5% 11.3% 10.2% 6.4% 3.5% 2.0% 1.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Soren Walljasper 4.6% 6.8% 7.6% 7.1% 10.0% 8.7% 9.7% 10.8% 9.4% 9.0% 7.0% 6.3% 3.0%
Jimmy Madigan 10.5% 11.1% 11.2% 12.8% 12.1% 9.6% 10.0% 7.9% 7.1% 2.9% 3.1% 1.5% 0.2%
Alexander Smith 3.1% 3.6% 5.1% 6.2% 5.2% 7.0% 8.2% 8.7% 10.0% 9.8% 11.7% 12.5% 8.9%
Isabella Hamilton 1.8% 2.5% 4.0% 3.4% 4.1% 3.4% 5.2% 5.8% 8.1% 9.9% 12.4% 14.9% 24.5%
Mason Wolters 4.3% 5.3% 3.8% 7.2% 6.6% 9.5% 8.1% 10.4% 8.7% 10.0% 9.6% 8.9% 7.6%
Conner Killham 2.2% 3.9% 5.0% 6.3% 5.8% 7.2% 7.6% 9.7% 10.0% 10.5% 10.0% 11.1% 10.7%
Alexander Singh 2.4% 4.0% 4.8% 5.1% 5.1% 8.1% 7.5% 8.3% 7.8% 11.7% 10.8% 12.6% 11.8%
Mackey Leventis 1.9% 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 3.9% 5.6% 6.1% 7.8% 7.4% 9.0% 13.8% 15.5% 21.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.