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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.6
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.61+6.08vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.62+5.15vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+3.42vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.70+7.71vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.92+5.19vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.62+1.20vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.37+1.17vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.95+11.17vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.05+5.29vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65+1.63vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.87+3.58vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.40-4.95vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University1.25+4.23vs Predicted
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15Amherst College2.01-0.37vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.64-4.24vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy2.81-6.29vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.41-5.27vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut-0.21+3.07vs Predicted
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20Northeastern University3.26-11.52vs Predicted
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21Bates College1.67-4.93vs Predicted
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22University of New Hampshire1.65-5.41vs Predicted
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24Williams College1.47-6.81vs Predicted
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25Boston University3.35-16.76vs Predicted
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26McGill University1.60-9.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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6.42Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.71Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.920.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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19.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.950.0%1st Place
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14.29Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.0%1st Place
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15.58Middlebury College1.870.0%1st Place
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8.05Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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18.23Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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14.63Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
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11.76Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
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10.71Maine Maritime Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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12.73Harvard University2.410.0%1st Place
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22.07University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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8.48Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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16.07Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
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16.59University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
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17.19Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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8.24Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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16.66McGill University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Pimentel | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bernie Roesler | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Rohman | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Rian Bareuther | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Pierce | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 20.8% | 14.5% |
| Stephen Byrne | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Steven Drapcho | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Brown | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 6.0% |
| Tyler Black | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Timothy Clark | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Poole | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Byrne | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Catherine Stavola | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 62.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cason | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| Christopher Edwards | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 4.1% |
| Matt Johnson | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leif Macdonald | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.