Race 4B

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Victoria McGruer 4.2% 5.2% 6.0% 8.8% 9.6% 8.4% 9.6% 10.2% 10.7% 9.3% 7.8% 6.5% 3.7%
Liam McCarthy 15.8% 16.6% 17.7% 15.0% 11.3% 8.3% 6.5% 4.3% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Stefano Peschiera 36.6% 23.7% 17.5% 9.4% 7.0% 3.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Shannon 7.1% 11.9% 9.5% 11.9% 13.8% 8.7% 9.4% 9.7% 6.8% 5.3% 3.6% 1.4% 0.9%
Anders Hudson 4.5% 4.0% 5.8% 6.7% 7.0% 8.1% 9.1% 9.0% 9.7% 11.7% 8.9% 9.5% 6.0%
Isabella Hamilton 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 4.2% 3.7% 5.0% 5.9% 6.5% 8.8% 9.1% 11.4% 16.9% 21.2%
Soren Walljasper 6.3% 5.8% 7.3% 8.1% 7.8% 9.0% 10.2% 9.9% 9.3% 9.6% 8.2% 5.7% 2.8%
Conner Killham 2.4% 4.7% 3.8% 4.7% 5.5% 6.7% 7.9% 9.9% 9.7% 8.8% 12.9% 12.4% 10.6%
Mason Wolters 4.1% 4.4% 4.8% 5.7% 6.7% 9.3% 9.1% 8.5% 10.7% 10.6% 9.7% 9.2% 7.2%
Alexander Smith 3.3% 3.9% 5.2% 4.8% 5.9% 7.7% 8.4% 9.3% 8.7% 9.7% 10.4% 10.9% 11.8%
Jimmy Madigan 9.6% 12.5% 12.3% 12.6% 10.9% 12.9% 8.9% 7.4% 5.1% 4.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.6%
Alexander Singh 2.2% 3.3% 4.3% 4.9% 6.2% 7.7% 7.6% 7.5% 9.9% 10.3% 12.7% 11.3% 12.1%
Mackey Leventis 1.9% 1.6% 2.9% 3.2% 4.6% 5.2% 5.7% 7.0% 8.3% 9.9% 12.1% 14.5% 23.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.