Race 5B

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stefano Peschiera 35.3% 27.2% 16.7% 9.3% 5.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Singh 3.3% 3.2% 5.0% 5.1% 7.0% 6.8% 7.9% 10.5% 9.3% 11.1% 11.0% 12.3% 7.5%
Soren Walljasper 4.5% 4.8% 8.5% 9.5% 8.7% 8.3% 10.2% 11.4% 9.6% 10.3% 7.0% 5.4% 1.8%
Victoria McGruer 3.8% 5.9% 6.7% 8.2% 9.4% 10.5% 9.4% 9.9% 10.7% 8.6% 9.5% 4.5% 2.9%
Liam McCarthy 17.6% 19.4% 15.8% 12.6% 12.5% 8.3% 6.2% 3.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Shannon 9.4% 9.1% 10.8% 13.8% 11.3% 11.6% 10.2% 8.3% 6.1% 4.7% 2.8% 1.3% 0.6%
Mackey Leventis 2.8% 3.5% 2.9% 4.3% 4.7% 6.5% 5.6% 6.1% 9.9% 10.0% 11.9% 16.5% 15.3%
Mason Wolters 4.1% 4.7% 6.1% 6.6% 6.9% 8.0% 9.7% 11.3% 11.1% 11.3% 8.6% 7.9% 3.7%
Jimmy Madigan 9.5% 10.9% 13.0% 12.5% 12.6% 10.7% 10.0% 6.8% 5.9% 4.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.3%
Anders Hudson 4.2% 4.6% 5.2% 6.9% 7.0% 8.7% 10.5% 9.9% 9.3% 9.5% 9.9% 8.3% 6.0%
Darby Reddaway 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 2.9% 3.4% 3.8% 5.2% 5.7% 6.4% 8.7% 11.9% 15.9% 32.5%
Alexander Smith 2.5% 4.0% 5.4% 4.9% 6.3% 7.8% 7.3% 9.2% 10.5% 11.0% 11.9% 11.0% 8.2%
Isabella Hamilton 1.8% 1.6% 2.6% 3.4% 4.4% 5.6% 6.7% 6.7% 8.1% 9.5% 12.8% 15.6% 21.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.