Race 6B

charleston-spring-coed

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stefano Peschiera 37.4% 25.8% 15.0% 10.9% 5.8% 2.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Soren Walljasper 4.8% 6.6% 6.2% 7.2% 10.9% 10.5% 10.1% 10.4% 9.3% 9.6% 7.1% 5.2% 2.1%
Victoria McGruer 3.7% 4.4% 8.6% 9.3% 7.8% 8.4% 9.7% 11.1% 12.7% 8.2% 7.5% 6.1% 2.5%
Mason Wolters 3.3% 4.3% 6.3% 6.9% 7.9% 10.1% 8.6% 9.4% 9.6% 9.3% 10.7% 8.7% 4.9%
Jimmy Madigan 10.6% 12.1% 12.4% 11.9% 11.7% 11.1% 11.1% 7.4% 5.2% 2.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2%
Liam McCarthy 17.4% 17.1% 16.3% 16.1% 10.4% 9.0% 5.5% 3.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Sam Shannon 9.1% 11.3% 10.3% 11.9% 12.3% 10.9% 10.3% 7.9% 6.0% 5.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.2%
Alexander Singh 2.8% 4.5% 4.3% 5.1% 7.0% 7.5% 7.6% 10.9% 10.7% 11.0% 10.6% 10.4% 7.6%
Anders Hudson 3.7% 4.8% 5.6% 5.8% 5.7% 10.8% 9.2% 9.8% 10.4% 10.8% 8.7% 8.8% 5.9%
Darby Reddaway 0.8% 2.0% 2.7% 2.1% 3.6% 2.6% 3.3% 4.7% 7.2% 9.3% 10.3% 17.1% 34.3%
Alexander Smith 2.7% 3.5% 6.3% 6.0% 7.2% 6.1% 9.9% 10.2% 11.0% 9.6% 11.8% 9.6% 6.1%
Mackey Leventis 1.9% 1.9% 3.2% 3.9% 5.1% 5.3% 6.5% 7.3% 7.5% 10.5% 14.2% 15.4% 17.3%
Isabella Hamilton 1.8% 1.7% 2.8% 2.9% 4.6% 5.2% 6.6% 6.5% 7.9% 12.2% 12.8% 16.1% 18.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.