Race 7B

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stefano Peschiera 36.6% 25.6% 16.8% 9.3% 5.8% 3.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Shannon 9.1% 8.2% 10.2% 14.0% 13.2% 9.7% 11.7% 7.0% 7.5% 4.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.6%
Alexander Singh 3.2% 2.5% 4.2% 6.1% 6.8% 6.1% 8.8% 10.2% 10.5% 12.3% 11.6% 11.3% 6.4%
Liam McCarthy 17.0% 17.7% 16.7% 13.5% 10.9% 9.1% 6.9% 4.3% 2.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Victoria McGruer 5.4% 6.2% 7.4% 9.6% 7.7% 9.3% 8.9% 10.7% 10.7% 9.5% 6.9% 5.2% 2.5%
Soren Walljasper 4.5% 7.5% 7.3% 9.3% 8.7% 8.6% 11.0% 10.7% 9.6% 8.5% 7.8% 4.1% 2.4%
Darby Reddaway 1.7% 1.7% 2.6% 2.0% 2.5% 4.1% 4.2% 5.0% 6.1% 7.4% 11.9% 16.1% 34.7%
Jimmy Madigan 9.7% 11.1% 13.0% 11.7% 13.4% 12.1% 9.7% 7.0% 6.2% 2.6% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Mason Wolters 3.0% 5.6% 5.2% 6.0% 6.8% 9.8% 8.6% 11.2% 9.6% 11.3% 9.4% 7.5% 6.0%
Mackey Leventis 2.3% 2.5% 4.1% 3.1% 5.0% 5.6% 5.9% 7.9% 9.1% 10.5% 12.0% 15.9% 16.1%
Anders Hudson 3.7% 4.9% 5.8% 6.7% 9.5% 8.9% 9.4% 10.3% 9.5% 10.1% 9.9% 7.3% 4.0%
Alexander Smith 2.3% 4.5% 3.9% 5.4% 5.6% 7.8% 7.9% 8.0% 10.0% 12.6% 11.7% 13.3% 7.0%
Isabella Hamilton 1.5% 2.0% 2.8% 3.3% 4.1% 5.5% 5.8% 6.9% 8.4% 9.9% 13.6% 16.1% 20.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.