Race 8B

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stefano Peschiera 37.7% 25.5% 16.0% 9.4% 6.2% 2.7% 1.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anders Hudson 3.7% 3.9% 5.6% 7.8% 7.0% 8.5% 9.4% 9.2% 10.5% 9.6% 11.9% 8.3% 4.6%
Liam McCarthy 15.0% 18.2% 17.3% 14.1% 11.5% 10.4% 5.2% 4.0% 2.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Victoria McGruer 4.3% 5.1% 6.9% 9.2% 10.5% 8.6% 8.7% 11.7% 8.7% 7.9% 8.2% 7.3% 2.9%
Jimmy Madigan 10.1% 12.2% 13.6% 12.3% 11.0% 10.6% 11.4% 5.9% 6.0% 3.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Alexander Smith 2.8% 5.0% 4.1% 5.0% 6.8% 7.6% 8.0% 10.3% 10.3% 11.6% 10.5% 11.2% 6.8%
Mason Wolters 5.5% 4.4% 5.2% 6.6% 8.1% 8.4% 8.3% 10.8% 11.0% 9.1% 9.2% 8.4% 5.0%
Soren Walljasper 5.3% 6.3% 6.3% 7.9% 10.4% 9.7% 12.2% 10.5% 8.9% 9.1% 6.5% 5.4% 1.5%
Alexander Singh 3.1% 4.0% 4.8% 5.4% 5.1% 7.8% 9.1% 8.5% 9.1% 12.4% 11.5% 10.3% 8.9%
Isabella Hamilton 2.1% 2.8% 3.1% 3.8% 4.1% 3.9% 6.7% 7.4% 8.1% 10.9% 13.4% 15.1% 18.6%
Mackey Leventis 1.7% 2.0% 3.9% 4.6% 5.4% 5.2% 7.2% 7.7% 10.2% 11.8% 12.1% 15.3% 12.9%
Sam Shannon 7.6% 9.3% 11.8% 11.8% 11.5% 13.3% 8.5% 7.6% 8.1% 4.6% 3.4% 2.1% 0.4%
Darby Reddaway 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 2.1% 2.4% 3.3% 4.0% 5.4% 6.4% 8.3% 10.9% 15.3% 38.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.