Race 9B

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stefano Peschiera 36.3% 23.2% 18.7% 9.2% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liam McCarthy 16.5% 16.6% 16.5% 16.0% 11.0% 8.0% 7.3% 3.6% 1.8% 1.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Mason Wolters 3.7% 2.9% 5.6% 7.7% 6.6% 7.8% 8.7% 9.3% 11.0% 12.2% 9.3% 8.8% 6.4%
Alexander Singh 2.4% 3.2% 4.4% 6.0% 6.2% 8.5% 7.8% 8.3% 8.6% 10.5% 11.8% 11.7% 10.6%
Jimmy Madigan 10.1% 12.4% 12.6% 12.6% 11.0% 11.0% 9.0% 8.2% 5.4% 3.3% 2.7% 1.4% 0.3%
Victoria McGruer 4.6% 6.2% 6.6% 7.1% 10.2% 8.4% 10.2% 9.0% 11.0% 9.3% 6.7% 7.3% 3.4%
Conner Killham 4.3% 4.0% 3.4% 5.1% 6.6% 6.7% 6.1% 8.5% 8.4% 11.0% 13.0% 14.0% 8.9%
Sam Shannon 8.3% 11.3% 9.9% 12.4% 10.6% 10.2% 11.9% 9.0% 6.6% 4.3% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7%
Soren Walljasper 4.6% 6.5% 6.3% 7.9% 8.8% 10.2% 9.3% 10.5% 9.6% 8.7% 6.5% 6.4% 4.7%
Anders Hudson 3.8% 5.3% 4.9% 4.3% 9.0% 7.8% 9.3% 10.2% 9.7% 9.4% 10.0% 8.9% 7.4%
Mackey Leventis 1.9% 1.8% 4.2% 3.6% 5.4% 5.1% 6.3% 7.4% 9.1% 10.3% 12.5% 12.6% 19.8%
Alexander Smith 1.9% 4.9% 3.8% 5.5% 5.0% 7.6% 6.6% 8.2% 10.0% 9.9% 13.5% 12.3% 10.8%
Isabella Hamilton 1.6% 1.7% 3.1% 2.6% 3.2% 5.5% 6.2% 6.6% 8.4% 9.8% 9.8% 14.6% 26.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.