Race 10B

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jimmy Madigan 9.0% 10.6% 13.4% 12.1% 11.6% 10.3% 10.0% 7.5% 6.7% 4.6% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5%
Alexander Singh 3.1% 3.6% 3.3% 6.0% 6.1% 7.0% 8.5% 9.3% 8.8% 11.1% 11.2% 12.5% 9.5%
Sam Shannon 7.6% 9.3% 12.8% 10.0% 10.7% 12.3% 9.9% 9.1% 7.4% 5.2% 2.8% 1.8% 1.1%
Stefano Peschiera 37.3% 23.9% 17.0% 10.7% 5.8% 2.8% 1.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Alexander Smith 4.5% 3.1% 3.3% 6.3% 6.8% 6.7% 8.6% 8.4% 8.6% 11.5% 11.7% 11.3% 9.2%
Soren Walljasper 4.9% 6.3% 7.2% 8.4% 9.3% 9.8% 9.9% 9.6% 9.1% 8.5% 7.3% 6.4% 3.3%
Victoria McGruer 4.8% 6.3% 6.7% 8.1% 8.5% 9.0% 8.8% 10.0% 10.1% 9.2% 8.0% 7.3% 3.2%
Liam McCarthy 15.3% 18.7% 14.9% 15.2% 12.6% 9.1% 6.5% 3.8% 1.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Mason Wolters 4.0% 4.3% 6.3% 5.2% 6.4% 8.6% 8.6% 7.9% 11.4% 11.5% 9.2% 8.5% 8.1%
Isabella Hamilton 2.1% 2.6% 3.0% 3.7% 3.5% 5.2% 5.1% 7.5% 9.0% 7.6% 12.4% 15.1% 23.2%
Anders Hudson 3.5% 4.7% 5.5% 7.9% 7.6% 7.6% 10.2% 10.4% 8.8% 9.8% 10.1% 8.3% 5.6%
Conner Killham 2.3% 3.8% 3.7% 4.3% 6.6% 6.5% 6.3% 8.9% 9.6% 10.4% 12.0% 11.8% 13.8%
Mackey Leventis 1.6% 2.8% 2.9% 2.1% 4.5% 5.1% 6.3% 6.7% 8.5% 9.4% 12.4% 15.3% 22.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.