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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+1.34vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia1.63+5.54vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+0.61vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.82+3.15vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.66+2.50vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.76-1.22vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.84-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.11-1.68vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.63-1.54vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.63-4.98vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-3.19vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota-1.01-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34College of Charleston4.090.4%1st Place
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7.54University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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3.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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7.15Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.5Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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4.78U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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6.32University of Wisconsin2.110.1%1st Place
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7.46Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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5.02Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.81Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 36.4% | 28.1% | 17.6% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Singh | 2.1% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 2.6% |
| Liam McCarthy | 18.0% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 1.4% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 3.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 1.7% |
| Soren Walljasper | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 1.2% |
| Sam Shannon | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 3.0% |
| John O'Leary | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 86.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.