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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+1.31vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.66+5.50vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.63+2.08vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.63+3.59vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.33vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.84+1.07vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia1.63+0.45vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.82-0.96vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-1.48vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.11-3.68vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.76-6.11vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota-1.01-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31College of Charleston4.090.4%1st Place
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7.5Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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5.08Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.59Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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3.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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7.07University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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7.04Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.52Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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6.32University of Wisconsin2.110.1%1st Place
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4.89U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.55University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 38.1% | 27.5% | 16.2% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.7% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 2.4% |
| Sam Shannon | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 2.4% |
| Liam McCarthy | 16.9% | 19.5% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Singh | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 3.1% |
| Anders Hudson | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 2.1% |
| Conner Killham | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 1.7% |
| Soren Walljasper | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 0.7% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| John O'Leary | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 5.9% | 86.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.