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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+1.34vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.85vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+0.68vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia1.70+3.56vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.66+2.58vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.84+1.19vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.11-0.63vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.63-0.41vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.63-3.99vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota1.18-1.29vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.72-1.14vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.82-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34College of Charleston4.090.4%1st Place
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4.85U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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3.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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7.56University of Virginia1.700.0%1st Place
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7.58Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Wisconsin2.110.1%1st Place
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7.59Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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5.01Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Minnesota1.180.0%1st Place
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9.86Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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7.26Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 38.7% | 25.2% | 16.9% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 9.5% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Liam McCarthy | 18.4% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rodman Brown | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 8.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 8.4% |
| Mason Wolters | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 5.3% |
| Soren Walljasper | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Alexander Smith | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 8.7% |
| Sam Shannon | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 20.1% |
| Darby Reddaway | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 40.9% |
| Anders Hudson | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.