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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University-0.97+3.67vs Predicted
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2Northern Michigan University-1.51+3.93vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-0.73+1.44vs Predicted
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4Miami University-1.08+1.19vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.51-1.23vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.91-1.41vs Predicted
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7Hillsdale College-1.74-0.46vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.97-3.27vs Predicted
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9Saginaw Valley State University-3.11+0.31vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-2.34-1.95vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-2.80-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Michigan State University-0.9712.2%1st Place
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5.93Northern Michigan University-1.517.2%1st Place
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4.44Western Michigan University-0.7313.9%1st Place
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5.19Miami University-1.089.4%1st Place
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3.77Purdue University-0.5119.4%1st Place
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4.59Grand Valley State University-0.9113.5%1st Place
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6.54Hillsdale College-1.745.6%1st Place
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4.73Ohio State University-0.9712.3%1st Place
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9.31Saginaw Valley State University-3.111.6%1st Place
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8.05Unknown School-2.343.0%1st Place
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8.77Michigan State University-2.801.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Meyers | 12.2% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Jack Charlton | 13.9% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Griffin Boothby | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 19.4% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Reed Rossell | 13.5% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Alya MacManaway | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 4.2% |
| Alexandra Avery | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 12.2% | 20.3% | 44.6% |
| Alex Schlotterer | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 18.6% | 22.1% | 16.2% |
| AUSTIN SJAARDA | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 25.6% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.