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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.84+5.17vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia1.70+4.53vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-0.26vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.17vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.66+1.63vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.11-0.62vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.82-0.85vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.63-4.04vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.63-2.40vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota1.18-2.11vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.72-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31College of Charleston4.090.4%1st Place
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7.17University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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7.53University of Virginia1.700.0%1st Place
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3.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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4.83U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.63Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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6.38University of Wisconsin2.110.1%1st Place
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7.15Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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4.96Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.6Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Minnesota1.180.0%1st Place
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9.81Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 38.2% | 26.3% | 17.0% | 9.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 4.7% |
| Rodman Brown | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 6.8% |
| Liam McCarthy | 15.5% | 19.5% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Kurran Singh | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 6.8% |
| Soren Walljasper | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Anders Hudson | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 5.7% |
| Sam Shannon | 8.7% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Smith | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 8.3% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 21.7% |
| Darby Reddaway | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.