Race 1A

ice-breaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sarah Hermus 27.0% 23.5% 18.9% 14.1% 8.7% 5.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Gabriel Elstrodt 15.9% 19.6% 18.4% 15.4% 13.5% 9.3% 5.5% 2.0% 0.4%
Eric Anderson 10.9% 10.7% 14.3% 14.9% 16.1% 14.7% 12.5% 5.0% 0.9%
Ben Brown 3.9% 5.6% 6.4% 8.9% 11.4% 14.5% 21.5% 17.6% 10.2%
Shannon Killian 7.8% 10.3% 11.5% 13.7% 13.7% 14.2% 13.9% 11.7% 3.2%
Albert Rodiger 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 2.6% 4.4% 5.7% 10.5% 21.7% 50.6%
Emilia Clementi 7.8% 6.4% 9.0% 10.4% 15.4% 18.8% 16.7% 11.5% 4.0%
Jackson McCoy 23.1% 19.6% 16.9% 15.1% 12.4% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.0%
William Manning 2.3% 2.9% 2.8% 4.9% 4.4% 9.2% 14.0% 28.8% 30.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.