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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+2.39vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.08+3.23vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14+0.16vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.45+0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37-2.23vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.98-0.81vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.52-0.92vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.83-0.84vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.35-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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5.23Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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3.16Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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4.22Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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2.77University of Rhode Island3.370.3%1st Place
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5.19Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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6.08Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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7.16Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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7.8Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 18.2% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 5.2% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 18.3% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 3.8% |
| Jackson McCoy | 21.2% | 20.8% | 19.6% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Eric Anderson | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 29.2% | 24.8% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 3.0% |
| Ben Brown | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 16.7% | 23.4% | 17.9% | 9.9% |
| William Manning | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 30.6% | 28.5% |
| Albert Rodiger | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 9.9% | 20.3% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.