Race 3A

ice-breaker

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Gabriel Elstrodt 19.3% 18.0% 17.3% 16.9% 12.7% 8.8% 5.6% 1.3% 0.1%
Eric Anderson 8.1% 12.0% 14.4% 14.8% 17.9% 14.9% 9.8% 6.3% 1.8%
Sarah Hermus 27.6% 23.1% 17.1% 14.3% 10.6% 5.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 7.7% 9.7% 11.1% 12.1% 14.7% 17.3% 15.3% 9.6% 2.5%
Emilia Clementi 7.5% 8.5% 10.7% 12.8% 13.0% 15.1% 16.8% 10.6% 5.0%
William Manning 2.1% 2.1% 3.2% 5.3% 6.0% 8.4% 15.0% 28.6% 29.3%
Ben Brown 4.4% 4.5% 5.5% 7.1% 10.4% 16.7% 22.6% 18.6% 10.2%
Jackson McCoy 22.1% 20.6% 18.4% 13.8% 11.1% 8.9% 3.3% 1.6% 0.2%
Albert Rodiger 1.2% 1.5% 2.3% 2.9% 3.6% 4.9% 9.9% 22.8% 50.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.