Race 5B

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joseph Mowrey 16.8% 17.8% 15.4% 12.8% 12.8% 9.5% 7.4% 4.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Jack Charlton 14.0% 12.3% 13.9% 12.8% 11.3% 11.7% 9.9% 6.7% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4%
Griffin Boothby 8.9% 10.0% 10.0% 11.8% 11.6% 11.5% 11.9% 10.8% 8.2% 4.2% 1.2%
Garrett Szlachta 16.1% 15.2% 13.6% 11.8% 11.9% 11.0% 7.8% 7.2% 3.8% 1.5% 0.2%
Nathan Sylvester 7.8% 7.8% 8.2% 9.4% 10.0% 10.5% 11.3% 12.6% 12.4% 7.1% 2.8%
Alexandra Avery 11.5% 12.3% 11.2% 11.6% 11.8% 11.2% 10.8% 9.2% 6.6% 3.1% 0.5%
Alya MacManaway 5.9% 5.3% 7.3% 7.4% 7.4% 9.5% 11.0% 13.2% 15.7% 12.2% 5.0%
Caden Meyers 11.8% 12.6% 12.6% 12.2% 11.3% 11.8% 11.2% 8.7% 5.1% 2.2% 0.4%
Alex Schlotterer 3.0% 2.9% 3.6% 4.5% 5.6% 5.9% 8.9% 11.9% 17.4% 20.2% 16.0%
AUSTIN SJAARDA 2.5% 2.5% 2.8% 2.9% 4.2% 4.2% 5.5% 8.4% 13.5% 25.4% 28.0%
Claire DeVoogd 1.8% 1.4% 1.5% 2.7% 1.9% 3.0% 4.2% 7.1% 9.6% 21.6% 45.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.