← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Gabriel Elstrodt 18.6% 19.7% 17.9% 14.6% 13.5% 9.5% 4.7% 1.4% 0.1%
Shannon Killian 5.4% 7.4% 9.2% 13.6% 14.9% 17.6% 16.8% 10.6% 4.5%
Jackson McCoy 22.1% 19.9% 18.9% 15.2% 12.4% 7.4% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Eric Anderson 11.6% 13.0% 14.9% 14.3% 14.8% 15.9% 9.8% 4.6% 1.1%
Ben Brown 4.2% 5.6% 7.1% 9.6% 11.2% 12.1% 20.8% 18.1% 11.3%
Emilia Clementi 6.0% 7.3% 9.4% 13.1% 14.2% 17.0% 18.3% 11.6% 3.1%
Sarah Hermus 28.4% 23.1% 17.0% 13.5% 10.2% 5.3% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1%
William Manning 2.4% 2.0% 3.5% 3.4% 5.9% 9.3% 14.2% 32.0% 27.3%
Albert Rodiger 1.3% 2.0% 2.1% 2.7% 2.9% 5.9% 9.8% 20.9% 52.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.