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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+2.40vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.08+3.25vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14+0.15vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.45+0.24vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.52+0.96vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.98-0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-4.20vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.83-0.83vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.35-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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5.25Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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3.15Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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4.24Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.96Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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5.23Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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2.8University of Rhode Island3.370.3%1st Place
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7.17Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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7.8Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 18.6% | 19.7% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 10.6% | 4.5% |
| Jackson McCoy | 22.1% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eric Anderson | 11.6% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Ben Brown | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 11.3% |
| Emilia Clementi | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 18.3% | 11.6% | 3.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 28.4% | 23.1% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Manning | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 32.0% | 27.3% |
| Albert Rodiger | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 20.9% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.