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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.45+3.39vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.52+4.23vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.98+2.27vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.08+0.88vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37-2.23vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.14-2.90vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.83+0.15vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01-4.61vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.35-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.23Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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5.27Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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4.88Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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2.77University of Rhode Island3.370.3%1st Place
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3.1Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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7.15Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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3.39Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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7.81Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Anderson | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| Ben Brown | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 21.3% | 22.1% | 10.4% |
| Emilia Clementi | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 4.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 7.0% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 8.3% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 30.7% | 21.4% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 21.0% | 21.6% | 20.8% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| William Manning | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 29.9% | 27.5% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 19.0% | 19.6% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Albert Rodiger | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 19.2% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.