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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.98+4.24vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+1.54vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37-0.17vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.14-0.92vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.45-0.72vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.52-0.01vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.35+0.85vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.83-0.83vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.08-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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3.54Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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2.83University of Rhode Island3.370.3%1st Place
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3.08Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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4.28Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.99Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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7.85Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
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7.17Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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5.04Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilia Clementi | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 12.1% | 3.5% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 15.6% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 27.4% | 22.6% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 23.1% | 20.9% | 19.3% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Eric Anderson | 11.4% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Ben Brown | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 20.8% | 20.0% | 8.2% |
| Albert Rodiger | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 21.0% | 53.9% |
| William Manning | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 28.1% | 29.9% |
| Shannon Killian | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 10.0% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.