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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+2.38vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+0.95vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.52+3.11vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.14-0.89vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.98+0.08vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.08-0.99vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.83+0.20vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.35-0.21vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.45-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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2.95University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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6.11Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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3.11Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.08Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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5.01Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.2Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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7.79Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
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4.38Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 19.9% | 18.5% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 22.8% | 24.2% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ben Brown | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 22.0% | 21.4% | 9.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 23.3% | 20.1% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emilia Clementi | 6.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 4.6% |
| Shannon Killian | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 19.3% | 15.5% | 9.3% | 2.8% |
| William Manning | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 29.5% | 29.8% |
| Albert Rodiger | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 10.6% | 21.3% | 51.9% |
| Eric Anderson | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.