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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Gabriel Elstrodt 19.1% 17.1% 19.7% 16.6% 13.3% 8.3% 4.3% 1.4% 0.2%
Eric Anderson 7.2% 11.9% 15.3% 14.7% 16.9% 15.4% 10.6% 6.4% 1.6%
Ben Brown 3.3% 5.2% 5.9% 8.2% 12.1% 12.8% 21.6% 21.7% 9.2%
Shannon Killian 8.0% 8.6% 11.3% 13.2% 14.6% 17.9% 15.3% 8.4% 2.7%
Sarah Hermus 30.4% 23.5% 15.9% 12.6% 9.0% 5.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Jackson McCoy 21.1% 21.8% 19.5% 15.3% 10.8% 7.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Emilia Clementi 7.2% 6.6% 7.8% 13.4% 14.4% 19.2% 15.8% 11.4% 4.2%
Albert Rodiger 1.5% 1.9% 1.6% 2.5% 3.6% 5.9% 10.8% 20.1% 52.1%
William Manning 2.2% 3.4% 3.0% 3.5% 5.3% 8.2% 15.6% 28.9% 29.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.