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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+2.38vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.45+2.52vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.52+3.09vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.08+0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37-2.24vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.14-2.87vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.98-1.76vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.35-0.21vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.83-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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4.52Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.09Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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4.91Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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2.76University of Rhode Island3.370.3%1st Place
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3.13Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.24Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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7.79Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
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7.17Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 19.1% | 17.1% | 19.7% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Eric Anderson | 7.2% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Ben Brown | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 21.6% | 21.7% | 9.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 8.4% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 30.4% | 23.5% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 21.1% | 21.8% | 19.5% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 11.4% | 4.2% |
| Albert Rodiger | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 20.1% | 52.1% |
| William Manning | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 15.6% | 28.9% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.