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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+2.39vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+0.98vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14+0.15vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.45+0.28vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.98+0.13vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.83+1.15vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.52-0.89vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.08-2.98vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.35-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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2.98University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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3.15Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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4.28Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.13Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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7.15Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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6.11Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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5.02Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.79Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 19.6% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 22.4% | 24.6% | 19.7% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 23.6% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 11.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 4.7% |
| William Manning | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 15.8% | 28.2% | 29.5% |
| Ben Brown | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 16.6% | 21.4% | 19.7% | 10.4% |
| Shannon Killian | 8.3% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 2.7% |
| Albert Rodiger | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 21.3% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.