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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+2.39vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+0.97vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14+0.15vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.45+0.29vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.08-0.05vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.98-0.79vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.83+0.21vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.52-1.96vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.35-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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2.97University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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3.15Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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4.29Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.95Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.21Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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7.21Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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6.04Middlebury College1.520.1%1st Place
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7.8Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 19.9% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 23.0% | 24.6% | 19.0% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 23.0% | 19.2% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eric Anderson | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 7.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 4.8% |
| Emilia Clementi | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 11.3% | 2.7% |
| William Manning | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 30.8% | 29.0% |
| Ben Brown | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 20.6% | 20.2% | 10.2% |
| Albert Rodiger | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 21.5% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.