Race 11A

ice-breaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sarah Hermus 26.8% 22.7% 18.3% 14.8% 8.7% 6.5% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Gabriel Elstrodt 15.3% 20.4% 18.9% 14.9% 13.5% 9.3% 5.2% 2.1% 0.4%
Jackson McCoy 22.6% 19.8% 17.7% 15.3% 13.0% 7.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Emilia Clementi 6.8% 8.0% 10.6% 11.0% 14.2% 18.5% 16.3% 11.7% 2.9%
Shannon Killian 7.4% 10.5% 11.7% 13.2% 13.2% 15.4% 15.0% 9.2% 4.4%
William Manning 2.4% 2.3% 2.9% 4.7% 6.6% 7.3% 15.0% 29.5% 29.3%
Ben Brown 4.9% 3.8% 4.9% 8.4% 10.5% 16.4% 21.9% 19.1% 10.1%
Eric Anderson 12.2% 11.0% 12.4% 15.3% 16.7% 13.8% 12.2% 4.9% 1.5%
Albert Rodiger 1.6% 1.5% 2.6% 2.4% 3.6% 5.7% 8.8% 22.4% 51.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.