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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.14+2.19vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+1.51vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37-0.19vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.52+1.97vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.98+0.10vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.08-0.92vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.45-2.59vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.35-0.21vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.83-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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3.51Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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2.81University of Rhode Island3.370.3%1st Place
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5.97Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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5.1Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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5.08Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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4.41Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.79Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
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7.14Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 22.3% | 19.9% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 17.0% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 28.6% | 21.6% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 21.1% | 18.1% | 9.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 6.4% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 4.5% |
| Shannon Killian | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 3.7% |
| Eric Anderson | 9.7% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Albert Rodiger | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 9.5% | 21.8% | 51.9% |
| William Manning | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 15.7% | 29.3% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.