← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.01+2.33vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.14+1.29vs Predicted
-
3Middlebury College1.52+3.05vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.45+0.26vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island3.37-2.23vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College0.35+1.80vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University2.08-1.91vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University0.83-0.80vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College1.98-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.33Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
-
3.29Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
-
6.05Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
-
4.26Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
-
2.77University of Rhode Island3.370.3%1st Place
-
7.8Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
-
5.09Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
-
7.2Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
-
5.21Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 18.8% | 19.8% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 17.2% | 22.2% | 20.0% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Ben Brown | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 23.1% | 20.7% | 8.8% |
| Eric Anderson | 11.0% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 30.4% | 22.1% | 17.6% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Albert Rodiger | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 21.7% | 51.8% |
| Shannon Killian | 8.0% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 19.5% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 3.0% |
| William Manning | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 28.4% | 30.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 11.0% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.