Race 5A

saisa-sp-4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Adam Harris 8.2% 9.7% 12.0% 12.4% 16.6% 16.5% 11.7% 9.6% 3.3%
J Hoyt 5.6% 7.4% 11.4% 15.3% 15.5% 16.6% 13.6% 9.8% 4.8%
Charlotte Dorris 22.1% 22.0% 18.4% 16.7% 11.0% 6.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Casey Bowles-Jenner 4.6% 6.2% 8.3% 9.5% 11.9% 14.7% 19.0% 14.7% 11.1%
Niklas Anderson 29.9% 24.4% 17.0% 12.7% 8.6% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Jeff Unknown 2.3% 1.9% 4.4% 3.9% 7.4% 8.0% 14.3% 23.9% 33.9%
Max Famiglietti 18.6% 20.9% 19.1% 15.0% 12.1% 8.5% 4.2% 1.5% 0.1%
Darby Smith 6.0% 5.1% 6.2% 10.3% 12.1% 14.6% 18.7% 16.4% 10.6%
Michael Todd 2.7% 2.4% 3.2% 4.2% 4.8% 9.9% 14.5% 22.3% 36.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.