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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College0.50+0.95vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-1.30+2.31vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.87+0.89vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.13-1.30vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College-1.45-0.53vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-0.82-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95SUNY Maritime College0.5043.9%1st Place
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4.31SUNY Stony Brook-1.306.5%1st Place
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3.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.879.8%1st Place
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2.7Columbia University-0.1322.7%1st Place
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4.47Hamilton College-1.455.8%1st Place
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3.68U. S. Military Academy-0.8211.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 43.9% | 29.8% | 16.4% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Dimont | 6.5% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 23.9% | 29.2% |
| Griffin Jones | 9.8% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 21.9% | 22.5% | 17.5% |
| Chase O'Malley | 22.7% | 27.0% | 23.2% | 15.1% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Reid Chapman | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 22.7% | 34.9% |
| Thomas Brearley | 11.4% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 20.6% | 19.6% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.