Race 6B

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Griffin Boothby 9.8% 10.1% 9.3% 10.3% 10.0% 13.0% 11.9% 12.4% 7.9% 4.0% 1.2%
Jack Charlton 12.8% 14.8% 13.4% 13.3% 12.6% 10.8% 8.9% 7.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.2%
Alexandra Avery 11.8% 11.8% 11.3% 13.1% 11.6% 11.9% 9.5% 10.0% 6.0% 2.1% 0.8%
Joseph Mowrey 18.4% 16.6% 16.2% 13.9% 11.5% 8.3% 7.0% 4.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Nathan Sylvester 8.4% 7.4% 8.7% 8.6% 11.8% 9.8% 11.6% 12.2% 12.2% 7.2% 2.2%
Garrett Szlachta 15.4% 14.8% 12.8% 11.8% 12.4% 10.8% 9.8% 6.2% 4.2% 1.5% 0.1%
Caden Meyers 11.7% 11.2% 13.1% 12.0% 12.8% 11.9% 9.2% 8.2% 6.5% 2.9% 0.5%
Alya MacManaway 5.8% 6.2% 7.1% 7.2% 7.4% 9.3% 11.8% 13.8% 15.6% 10.9% 4.8%
Alex Schlotterer 2.8% 3.5% 4.0% 4.6% 4.0% 6.0% 8.6% 10.3% 18.1% 22.2% 15.8%
AUSTIN SJAARDA 1.9% 1.8% 2.3% 2.6% 3.8% 4.2% 6.3% 8.6% 13.9% 25.2% 29.2%
Claire DeVoogd 1.1% 1.8% 1.7% 2.6% 2.2% 3.8% 5.2% 6.3% 9.6% 20.8% 45.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.