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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.87+7.55vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.03+5.89vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.97+5.25vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.36+2.36vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.70+4.27vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.68vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.23-1.15vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.85+4.28vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.22+1.44vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.69+2.78vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.57-6.06vs Predicted
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13Bates College2.26-1.73vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University-0.10+6.17vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-4.16vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy2.20-4.22vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.32+1.81vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.92-9.56vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.69-1.03vs Predicted
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20University of New Hampshire1.71-6.49vs Predicted
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22Harvard University2.53-12.01vs Predicted
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24Williams College-0.32-3.49vs Predicted
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25McGill University1.31-9.47vs Predicted
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26Amherst College0.96-9.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.55University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.36Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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9.27Northeastern University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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6.85Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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13.28Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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11.44Tufts University2.220.0%1st Place
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13.78Connecticut College1.690.0%1st Place
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5.94Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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11.27Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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20.17Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
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10.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.1%1st Place
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11.78Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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18.81University of Connecticut0.320.0%1st Place
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8.44Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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17.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.690.0%1st Place
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13.51University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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9.99Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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20.51Williams College-0.320.0%1st Place
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15.53McGill University1.310.0%1st Place
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16.91Amherst College0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Hughes | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Price | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 11.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan White | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Solomon Krevans | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Daly | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Max Nickbarg | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Josh Basseches | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 23.4% | 29.5% |
| Tevis Nichols | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Washburn | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 20.5% | 14.4% |
| Haley Powell | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Enrique | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 8.0% |
| Justin Marks | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Dorr | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 18.5% | 39.9% |
| Charlotte Skinner | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
| Stephanie Dowling | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.