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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.74+8.13vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+5.88vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+4.90vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.73+5.19vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+3.31vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.53vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.61+2.77vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.50+6.46vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38-2.65vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.510.00vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.27vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.49-1.39vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.30vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.78-0.62vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.81-2.08vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.86-3.17vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.40-2.52vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.42-11.80vs Predicted
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19Harvard University2.75-10.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.13Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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7.9Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.19College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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9.77Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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14.46Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.35Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.0George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.61Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.7U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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13.38Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
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12.92University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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12.83Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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14.48University of Michigan1.400.0%1st Place
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6.2Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.63Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 23.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte List | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% |
| Grace Mason | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 12.2% |
| Darcy Jensen | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% |
| Lane Tobin | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 24.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 12.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.