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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+5.19vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+8.61vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+6.27vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+3.29vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.73+3.59vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.78+6.54vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.39vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.74+0.61vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38-3.00vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.50+3.71vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-3.27vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.61-2.43vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.40+0.63vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.51-4.75vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.81-2.61vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.86-3.72vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-9.42vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.75-9.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.61U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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7.29Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.59College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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12.54Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.61Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.0Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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13.71Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.73University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.57Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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13.63University of Michigan1.400.0%1st Place
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9.25George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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12.39University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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12.28Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.58University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 9.9% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Grace Mason | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 16.3% | 24.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Lane Tobin | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 24.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 11.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.