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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.62vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+7.34vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.73+5.85vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.33+6.20vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.61+4.09vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.51+3.60vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42-1.04vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05-0.71vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.04-1.66vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99-2.15vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.74-2.25vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86+0.47vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-4.52vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.81-1.91vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.40-1.23vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-2.33vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.78-4.36vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.38-12.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.85College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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10.2U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.09Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.6George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.96Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.29Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.34University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.75Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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12.47Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.48Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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12.09University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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13.77University of Michigan1.400.0%1st Place
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13.67Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.64Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
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5.98Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.2% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.9% |
| Lane Tobin | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 23.6% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 23.7% |
| Grace Mason | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 14.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.