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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.74+7.90vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+4.29vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+5.81vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+3.28vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.04+2.36vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.39vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.61+2.18vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.94vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.73-0.36vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.78+2.74vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-4.93vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86+0.50vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.51-3.48vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.40-0.50vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.81-2.63vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.33-5.61vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-3.34vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.99-10.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.29Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.81Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.28Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.18Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.64College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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12.74Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
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6.07Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.5Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.52George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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13.5University of Michigan1.400.0%1st Place
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12.37University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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10.39U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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13.66Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Laura Wefer | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Grace Mason | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 13.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.9% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Lane Tobin | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 23.1% |
| Darcy Jensen | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 11.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 23.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.