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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.74+7.88vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+5.59vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+4.79vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.51+5.42vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+0.99vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.09vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.39vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-1.94vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.04-1.67vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-1.15vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.73-2.18vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.50+1.80vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.81-0.74vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.86-2.10vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.33-4.70vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.78-3.36vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.40-3.11vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.61-9.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.59Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.79University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.42George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.99Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.06Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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8.85Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.82College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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13.8Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.26University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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11.9Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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12.64Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
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13.89University of Michigan1.400.0%1st Place
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8.98Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.5% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 17.8% | 23.3% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 13.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Grace Mason | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 13.7% |
| Lane Tobin | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 24.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.