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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+6.09vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+5.65vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+6.18vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.76+3.88vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.32+5.07vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+5.44vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.23+7.37vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76+0.19vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.50-0.16vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.36-0.40vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.15+3.61vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.38-2.07vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.87-1.48vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.74-1.52vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.67-6.77vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.20-10.00vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.65-8.55vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.14-7.51vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan1.23-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.65Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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7.88Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.07Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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11.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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14.37University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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8.19Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.84Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.6Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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14.61Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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9.93George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.52U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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12.48Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.23College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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6.0Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.49Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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13.97University of Michigan1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Marly Isler | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Kate Klement | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 22.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 24.6% |
| India Johnstone | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 8.2% |
| Nikki Medley | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Alexandra Anderson | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.