← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.67+7.03vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.96+4.77vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.76+4.66vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.76+3.37vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.48vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.23+7.55vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.84+0.13vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.20-2.29vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.32+0.16vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University2.14+0.28vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University1.74+0.69vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-0.71vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.65-5.21vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy1.87-3.26vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan1.23-1.53vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University2.36-6.86vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University2.38-7.88vs Predicted
-
18Eckerd College1.15-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.03College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
-
6.77University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
7.66Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
7.37Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
-
13.55University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
-
7.13Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
5.71Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.16Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
-
10.28Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
-
11.69Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
-
11.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
-
7.79Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
10.74U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
-
13.47University of Michigan1.230.0%1st Place
-
9.14Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
-
9.12George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
-
13.62Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikki Medley | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Amina Brown | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Marly Isler | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 22.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 12.2% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Mary Robertson | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Alexandra Anderson | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 22.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| India Johnstone | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.