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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+8.43vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+5.29vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+4.64vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.65+3.80vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+1.61vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.74+5.63vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.76+0.44vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.38+0.86vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.57vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.23+3.68vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.60-2.71vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.87-0.56vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.36-4.07vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.14-4.33vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.23-1.54vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.20-10.18vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.15-3.12vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.43Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.29Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.64Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.8Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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11.63Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.44Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.86George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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13.68University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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8.29College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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11.44U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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8.93Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.67Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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13.46University of Michigan1.230.0%1st Place
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5.82Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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13.88Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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10.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Klement | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Amina Brown | 11.0% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% |
| Marly Isler | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| India Johnstone | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 23.0% |
| Mary Dahl | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Alexandra Anderson | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 20.9% |
| Lindsey Baab | 11.5% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 25.9% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.