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📊 Prediction Accuracy
39.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.70+8.32vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.87+6.60vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.36+3.56vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22+7.54vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.03+1.82vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.61vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.57-2.56vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.23-1.94vs Predicted
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10Bates College2.26+1.20vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.92-2.77vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy2.20-0.16vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.69+0.71vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-2.76vs Predicted
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16McGill University1.31-0.81vs Predicted
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17Amherst College0.96+0.02vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.85-4.77vs Predicted
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20Dartmouth College2.97-11.80vs Predicted
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21University of Connecticut0.32-1.88vs Predicted
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22Harvard University2.53-12.17vs Predicted
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23Brandeis University-0.10-2.97vs Predicted
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24Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.69-6.24vs Predicted
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25Williams College-0.32-4.48vs Predicted
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26University of New Hampshire1.71-12.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.32Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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6.56Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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11.54Tufts University2.220.0%1st Place
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7.82Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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5.44Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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7.06Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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11.2Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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8.23Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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11.84Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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13.71Connecticut College1.690.0%1st Place
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11.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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15.19McGill University1.310.0%1st Place
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17.02Amherst College0.960.0%1st Place
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13.23Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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19.12University of Connecticut0.320.0%1st Place
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9.83Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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20.03Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
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17.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.690.0%1st Place
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20.52Williams College-0.320.0%1st Place
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13.92University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan White | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hughes | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 9.5% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Krevans | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 14.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Haley Powell | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Daly | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Tevis Nichols | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Skinner | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Stephanie Dowling | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Price | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Washburn | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 21.2% | 16.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Josh Basseches | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 22.7% | 27.4% |
| Santiago Enrique | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 7.2% |
| Elizabeth Dorr | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 19.8% | 41.1% |
| Justin Marks | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.