Race 7B

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Reid Kwiatkowski 20.1% 19.1% 16.7% 12.6% 11.1% 8.9% 6.2% 3.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Caden Meyers 11.3% 11.2% 12.6% 11.2% 12.1% 10.9% 13.0% 8.3% 5.9% 2.7% 0.7%
Griffin Boothby 9.2% 10.2% 9.8% 11.8% 11.7% 11.8% 11.6% 11.4% 8.1% 3.5% 1.0%
Alexandra Avery 9.0% 11.1% 13.1% 12.2% 12.2% 12.7% 10.5% 9.5% 6.8% 2.4% 0.4%
Alya MacManaway 5.8% 5.8% 6.0% 7.3% 7.3% 9.8% 10.6% 14.0% 16.2% 12.3% 5.0%
Nathan Sylvester 7.8% 6.5% 7.2% 7.4% 10.1% 11.6% 12.2% 13.5% 11.8% 8.8% 2.9%
Joseph Mowrey 17.2% 16.4% 13.7% 14.6% 11.6% 9.8% 7.4% 6.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Jack Charlton 13.7% 12.2% 13.4% 13.7% 12.7% 11.2% 9.2% 7.5% 4.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Claire DeVoogd 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 1.7% 2.8% 3.5% 4.8% 5.9% 10.5% 20.8% 45.5%
Alex Schlotterer 2.9% 3.8% 3.4% 4.5% 5.1% 5.7% 9.0% 11.5% 18.2% 21.1% 14.8%
AUSTIN SJAARDA 1.9% 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 3.5% 4.2% 5.4% 9.4% 13.5% 25.9% 29.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.