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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.34+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.20+0.73vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.68+0.28vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.92-2.03vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.50-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Eckerd College2.340.2%1st Place
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2.73University of Florida2.200.2%1st Place
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3.28Eckerd College1.680.1%1st Place
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1.97University of South Florida2.920.4%1st Place
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4.41Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Normington | 23.2% | 26.2% | 24.7% | 17.8% | 8.1% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 18.6% | 25.2% | 27.7% | 21.6% | 6.9% |
| Matthew Peterson | 11.7% | 15.0% | 21.5% | 37.1% | 14.7% |
| Andrew Baird | 43.5% | 28.3% | 17.9% | 8.5% | 1.8% |
| Rafael Melendez | 3.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 15.0% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.