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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.68+2.31vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.34+0.58vs Predicted
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3University of Florida2.20-0.28vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.92-2.02vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.50-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Eckerd College1.680.1%1st Place
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2.58Eckerd College2.340.2%1st Place
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2.72University of Florida2.200.2%1st Place
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1.98University of South Florida2.920.4%1st Place
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4.42Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Peterson | 11.7% | 15.8% | 20.7% | 33.7% | 18.1% |
| Samuel Normington | 21.6% | 27.9% | 26.3% | 19.5% | 4.7% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 20.5% | 23.3% | 26.3% | 23.4% | 6.5% |
| Andrew Baird | 43.3% | 27.6% | 19.3% | 7.6% | 2.2% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 15.8% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.