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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.82+1.73vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-0.11+2.98vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.75+1.03vs Predicted
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4University of Florida2.38-1.92vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.50-0.52vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.82-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73University of South Florida1.820.2%1st Place
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4.98Rollins College-0.110.0%1st Place
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4.03University of Miami0.750.1%1st Place
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2.08University of Florida2.380.4%1st Place
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4.48Florida State University0.500.1%1st Place
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2.7Eckerd College1.820.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orrin Starr | 22.5% | 25.9% | 22.8% | 16.6% | 9.5% | 2.7% |
| Chad Murray | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 24.0% | 49.2% |
| Raymond Manngiaratti | 8.6% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 25.2% | 26.4% | 17.1% |
| Samuel Armington | 38.5% | 29.2% | 21.1% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Rafael Melendez | 5.1% | 5.7% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 29.3% | 28.9% |
| Samuel Peirson | 22.8% | 25.2% | 23.2% | 18.7% | 8.3% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.