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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida2.38+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.82+0.67vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.11+2.00vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.50+0.35vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.82-2.19vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.75-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12University of Florida2.380.4%1st Place
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2.67University of South Florida1.820.2%1st Place
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5.0Rollins College-0.110.0%1st Place
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4.35Florida State University0.500.1%1st Place
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2.81Eckerd College1.820.2%1st Place
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4.07University of Miami0.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Armington | 38.3% | 29.4% | 19.0% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Orrin Starr | 24.6% | 24.0% | 23.7% | 18.0% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Chad Murray | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 12.2% | 20.2% | 53.2% |
| Rafael Melendez | 5.0% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 20.9% | 29.7% | 24.0% |
| Samuel Peirson | 21.3% | 24.5% | 23.3% | 17.4% | 10.1% | 3.4% |
| Raymond Manngiaratti | 7.3% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 22.0% | 29.4% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.