Race 8B

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Griffin Boothby 8.8% 8.8% 9.8% 10.9% 12.0% 12.0% 12.6% 12.4% 7.7% 4.1% 0.8%
Nathan Sylvester 7.0% 6.3% 7.8% 8.6% 8.8% 11.1% 13.0% 13.8% 12.8% 8.8% 2.0%
Jack Charlton 12.3% 12.7% 12.2% 13.4% 13.7% 11.5% 10.2% 8.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
Joseph Mowrey 16.0% 15.4% 16.4% 13.9% 11.7% 10.0% 7.8% 5.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Caden Meyers 11.1% 12.6% 12.8% 12.0% 11.5% 11.5% 10.5% 8.3% 6.4% 2.8% 0.5%
Alexandra Avery 12.2% 10.3% 10.2% 11.5% 13.6% 13.2% 10.5% 8.3% 6.8% 2.9% 0.4%
Alex Schlotterer 3.0% 3.2% 3.1% 3.7% 4.5% 6.3% 8.6% 11.3% 18.0% 21.6% 16.6%
Alya MacManaway 5.8% 6.0% 7.0% 7.2% 7.8% 9.8% 11.2% 13.9% 16.0% 10.8% 4.5%
Reid Kwiatkowski 20.4% 21.1% 16.9% 12.8% 12.2% 7.2% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
AUSTIN SJAARDA 2.4% 2.3% 1.7% 3.1% 2.1% 4.1% 6.2% 8.6% 14.5% 24.6% 30.5%
Claire DeVoogd 1.1% 1.3% 2.1% 2.8% 2.2% 3.4% 4.5% 6.8% 10.1% 21.6% 44.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.