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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+10.16vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.57+3.76vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.92+5.35vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.70+4.16vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.97+2.07vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.87+1.36vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.03-0.38vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.13vs Predicted
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10Amherst College0.96+6.87vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy2.20+0.51vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.71+2.07vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.85+0.08vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.23-7.00vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.69+2.53vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.22-4.39vs Predicted
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17Bates College2.26-5.65vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.36-11.47vs Predicted
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19Harvard University2.53-8.72vs Predicted
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20McGill University1.31-4.80vs Predicted
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22Connecticut College1.69-8.15vs Predicted
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23Brandeis University-0.10-2.90vs Predicted
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24University of Connecticut0.32-4.99vs Predicted
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25Williams College-0.32-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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5.76Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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8.35Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.16Northeastern University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.07Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.36University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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7.62Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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16.87Amherst College0.960.0%1st Place
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11.51Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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14.07University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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13.08Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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7.0Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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17.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.690.0%1st Place
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11.61Tufts University2.220.0%1st Place
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11.35Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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6.53Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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10.28Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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15.2McGill University1.310.0%1st Place
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13.85Connecticut College1.690.0%1st Place
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20.1Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
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19.01University of Connecticut0.320.0%1st Place
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20.67Williams College-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tevis Nichols | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Max Nickbarg | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Powell | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan White | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Price | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hughes | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Dowling | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| John Joseph | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Justin Marks | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Rice | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Enrique | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 7.2% |
| Solomon Krevans | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Skinner | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Daly | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Josh Basseches | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 21.0% | 29.4% |
| Whitney Washburn | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 19.9% | 18.3% |
| Elizabeth Dorr | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 24.3% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.