Race 9B

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Charlton 18.2% 16.1% 16.6% 13.6% 11.2% 10.6% 7.6% 4.5% 1.2% 0.4%
Alexandra Avery 16.0% 16.0% 13.6% 12.8% 12.3% 10.6% 8.9% 6.5% 2.9% 0.6%
Griffin Boothby 14.2% 13.1% 12.8% 13.4% 12.2% 12.4% 9.7% 7.2% 4.0% 1.0%
Caden Meyers 14.9% 15.8% 14.2% 13.7% 12.2% 11.5% 9.3% 5.3% 2.3% 0.7%
Henrik Stjernfeldt 14.1% 13.1% 14.2% 14.1% 12.6% 12.0% 10.1% 6.3% 2.8% 0.7%
Alya MacManaway 6.8% 6.7% 8.6% 9.4% 11.5% 11.6% 14.4% 14.4% 12.2% 4.4%
Nathan Sylvester 7.6% 9.3% 9.4% 12.3% 13.2% 13.0% 13.7% 11.7% 7.0% 2.8%
AUSTIN SJAARDA 2.8% 2.6% 3.5% 4.1% 4.8% 5.8% 8.6% 14.1% 24.0% 29.7%
Claire DeVoogd 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 2.6% 3.7% 4.8% 6.8% 11.6% 20.8% 42.5%
Alex Schlotterer 3.2% 4.7% 4.7% 4.2% 6.4% 7.8% 10.7% 18.2% 22.9% 17.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.